从经济增速换挡角度理解商品价格的变动

发布时间:2017-11-23

JINGJIXINCHANGTAIDEYIGETEZHENGJIUSHIZENGZHANGSUDUHUANDANG,CONGGUOQUDEGAOSUZENGZHANGZHUANXIANGZHONGGAOSUZENGZHANG。ZAIZHUANHUANDEGUOCHENGZHONG,WOMENYIFANGMIANMIANLINZHESUDUDEDIAODANG,LINGYIFANGMIANHAIMIANLINZHEJINGJIJIEGOUDEDIAOZHENGHEZENGZHANGDONGLIDEZHUANHUAN。ZAIZHEIZHONGQINGKUANGXIA,WOMENYINGGAIZHENGQUEDIQULIJIEDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEDEFANDAN,TASHIJINGLILEWUSHIJIGEYUELIANXUFUZENGZHANGZHIHOUDEYICISHICHANGDIAOZHENGXINGWEI,KENENGYOUXIELINGYUDEJIAGELVEGAO,DANHAISHISHUYUHUIFUXINGDEZENGZHANG。

江西11选5SHANGSHIJI70NIANDAI,RIBENZHENGFUZENGQIANGDUIHUANJINGDEJIANGUANDUIYUXIAOFEIZHEWUJIAZHISHUDEYINGXIANGJINCONGNIANJUN8.3%SHANGSHENGDAOLE8.4%。YINCI,YINGXIANGDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEBODONGDEYINSUYOUHENDUO,HUANBAODUCHAZHISHIQIZHONGZHIYI。

江西11选5DUOZHONGYINSUTUIZHANGDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGE

SHOUXIAN,CONG2017NIANYILAI,HONGGUANJINGJIZOUSHIZHENGTIHAOYU2016NIAN,CONGXUQIUDUANWEIDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEDESHANGZHANGTIGONGLEDONGLI。QIYI,GDPTONGBIZENGSUHUISHENG。2017NIANQIANLIANGGEJIDU,GDPTONGBIZENGSUJUNWEI6.9%,GAOYU2016NIANTONGQIHEQUANNIANSHUIPING。QIER,GONGYESHENGCHANCHIXUHUINUAN。2017NIAN2YUEZHI8YUE,GONGYEZENGJIAZHILEIJITONGBIZENGSUBAOCHIZAI6.8%ZUOYOU,BIQUNIANTONGQICHIXUGAOCHUJIEJIN1GEBAIFENDIAN。QISAN,JINCHUKOUZONGEXIANZHUZENGJIA。2017NIANYILAI,ZHONGGUOJINCHUKOUJINETONGBIZENGSUYOUFUZHUANZHENG,LEIJITONGBIZENGSUBAOCHIZAI10%YISHANG。2017NIAN1YUEZHI8YUE,YIRENMINBIJIZHIDECHUKOUMAOYILEIJITONGBIZENGSUWEI13%,DADAGAOYU2016NIANTONGQIDE-1%。TONGSHI,2017NIAN1ZHI8YUEJINKOUZENGSUWEI22.3%,XIANZHUDAYUCHUKOUZENGSU,BIAOMINGGUONEIXUQIUBIJIAOWANGSHENG。QISI,XUQIUHAOZHUANDIEJIALEGONGXULIANGDUANDEQUYUXINGCUOPEI。ZAIZHENGTIYUNLIYOUXIANDEQINGKUANGXIA,DIQUXINGDECHANPINGONGJIWUFAJISHIYINGDUIQUANGUOXINGDEXUQIUHAOZHUAN,ZHEIJIUDAOZHIBUFENDIQUDEBUFENDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGECHUXIANKUAISUSHANGZHANG。

QICI,2017NIAN,GONGJICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGEDEZHONGDIANLINGYUYOUSANGEFANGMIAN,FENBIESHIGANGTIEXINGYE、MEITANXINGYE、HUODIANXINGYE。2017NIANQIAN8GEYUE,MEITANXINGYEYIJINGTIQIANWANCHENGLEQUANNIANDEGONGJICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGEQUCHANNENGRENWU,GANGTIEXINGYEGENGSHICHAOEWANCHENGLE20%DERENWU。GONGJICEGAIGEDETUIJINJIAKUAILEXINGYEQUCHANNENGHESHICHANGCHUQINGDEJINCHENG,YINCICONGGONGJIDEJIAODULAIKAN,XIANGGUANDAZONGSHANGPINXINGYEDESHENGCHANNENGLIHUISHOUDAOYIDINGDEYINGXIANG。

江西11选5YUCITONGSHI,GUOJIXIANGGUANSHICHANGDEGONGJISHOUSUOYEYINGXIANGDAOGUONEIXIANGGUANDAZONGSHANGPINDEJIAGE。CONGQUANQIUSHICHANGLAIKAN,QUANQIUDAZONGSHANGPINSHICHANGCONG2011NIANYILAIYIJINGCHIXUJINGLILEJIN5NIANDEXIONGSHI。TEBIESHIYOUSEJINSHUHEHEISEJINSHUDEJIAGE,GENGSHIJINGLILEXIANGDANGZHANGSHIJIANDECHIXUXIADIE。XIANGGUANXINGYEZAOJIUKAISHILEXINGYECHUQINGDEJINCHENG,XUDUOSHENGCHANNENGLIBUZUDEGONGYINGSHANGKAISHIZHUJIANTUICHUSHICHANG。SHOUSHIJIKUANG(AODALIYA)HELisheenKUANG(AIERLAN)YU2015NIANXIABANNIANGUANBI,YIJIJIANENGKEZAI2015NIANJIANCHAN50WANDUNDEYINGXIANG,2016NIANQUANQIUXINJINGKUANGCHANLIANGTONGBIXIAJIANG5.0%。TONGSHI,HAIYOUYIXIEKUANGSHANYEYINWEIZHONGZHONGYUANYINCHUXIANLEZANTINGHUOBAOYANG。KEYISHUO,JISHIMEIYOUZHONGGUOSHISHIDEGONGJICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGE,QUANQIUDAZONGSHANGPINSHICHANGYEZAIZIFAJINXINGGONGJISHOUSUO,JINERWEIDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGESHANGZHANGTIGONGZHICHENG。

江西11选5ZUIHOU,CHULEGONGXUFANGMIANDEYINSU,YOUZIDEYONGRUHESHICHANGDUIZHENGCEDEYUQIYEFANGDALECHANPINJIAGEDEBODONG。DANGQIAN,HUOBIZHENGCESHIZHONGBAOCHIWENJIANZHONGXING,JINRONGJIANGUANRIJIANQUYAN,CHUANTONGDEZICHANPEIZHIDENANDUZAIZENGJIA,QIESHOUYILVZAIXIAJIANG。YINCI,TOUZIJIJINXUYAOZHONGXINPEIZHIDALEIZICHAN,BUSHAOTOUZIZHEZIRANERRANDIXUANZELEYOUJIBENMIANHEZHENGCEMIANSHUANGZHONGZHICHENGDESHANGYOUSHICHANGHEDAZONGSHANGPINSHICHANG。ZAITOUZIZHEBULIXINGDEQINGKUANGXIA,BUFENTOUJIXINGWEIJINRUXIANHUOSHICHANGHELIUTONGLINGYU,DAOZHIDAZONGSHANGPINDECHICANGLIANGZAIJINNIANERJIDUYOUYIXIEMINGXIANDEYIDONGHEBIANHUA,DUIDUANQIDEJIAGEXINGCHENGYIDINGDEZHICHENG。

JIAGESHANGZHANGCUNZAIXINGYECHAYIXING

2016NIANYILAI,GANGTIEXINGYEHEMEITANXINGYEZAIGONGJICEGAIGEDETUIDONGXIADALIXUEJIANLUOHOUCHANNENG。2016NIAN4YUE,GUOJIAFAGAIWEI、RENSHEBU、GUOJIANENGYUANJU、GUOJIAMEIKUANGANJIANJULIANHEFABULE《GUANYUJINYIBUGUIFANHEGAISHANMEITANSHENGCHANJINGYINGZHIXUDETONGZHI》,YAOQIUQUANGUOSUOYOUMEIKUANGANZHAO276GEGONGZUORIZHONGXINQUEDINGSHENGCHANNENGLIZUZHISHENGCHAN。2016NIANXIABANNIAN,SHOUMEITANGONGJIQUEKOUBUDUANKUODADEYINGXIANG,MEITANJIAGECHENGJIAOKUAIDESHANGZHANGQUSHI。ZHIYANZIXUNSHUJUXIANSHI,2016NIANQUANGUOMEITANJIAGECONG1YUEZHI2YUEDE375YUAN/DUNSHANGSHENGZHI12YUEFENDE595YUAN/DUN;JIEZHI2017NIAN7YUE14RI,JIAGEYOUSHANGSHENGZHI623YUAN/DUN。

JINRU2017NIANYILAI,CUGANGDECHANLIANGSHIXIANLETONGBIZHENGZENGZHANG,4YUEYILAIYUANMEICHANLIANGYEKAISHITONGBIZHENGZENGZHANG。GENJUZHONGSHANGCHANYEYANJIUYUANDASHUJUKU2017NIAN1YUEZHI8YUEDEZHONGGUOYUANMEICHANLIANGTONGJIXIANSHI,2017NIAN8YUEZHONGGUOYUANMEIDANGYUECHANLIANGDADAO29076.9WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG4.1%。2017NIAN1YUEZHI8YUEZHONGGUOYUANMEILEIJICHANLIANGWEI229999.9WANDUN,YU2016NIANTONGQIXIANGBI,ZENGZHANG5.4%。XIANRAN,ZHEIZHONG“LIANGJIAQISHENG”DEXIANXIANGWUFAYONG“HUANBAODUCHA-CHANLIANGJIANSHAO-JIAGETIGAO”DELUOJIJIAYIJIESHI。

江西11选5JIANCAIXINGYEDECHANPINJIAGESHANGZHANGFANYINGLEDUOYINSUDEJIAOZHI,QIZHONGHUANBAODUCHAZHISHIQIZHONGYIGEYINSU。CONGXINGYECENGMIANKAN,CHANPINJIAGEZENGFUBINGBUGAO,JINNIAN1YUEZHI8YUEFEN,FEIJINSHUDECHUCHANGJIAGEBIQUNIANTONGQIJINSHANGZHANGLE6.6%。QIZHONG,SHUINIDEJIAGETONGBISHANGZHANG23.5%,DANQIZHONGGENGDUOFANYINGDESHIJISHUXIAOYING。YUCITONGSHI,JIANZHUCAILIAOSUIRANSHIFANGDICHANHEJIJIANXIANGMUDETOURUCHANPIN,DANZHEIXIECAILIAODECHENGBENZAIFANGDICHANCHENGBENZHONGDEZHANBIFEICHANGDI。DANYIPINZHONGDECAILIAOJIAGESHANGZHANG10%,SHIJISHANGDUIXIAYOUXINGYEDEYINGXIANGBINGBUDA。

ZAOZHIXINGYECHANPINJIAGESHANGZHANGDEZHUYAODONGLILAIZIYUYUANCAILIAOJIAGEDESHANGZHANGHERENMINBIHUILVBODONGDAOZHIDEJINKOUCHENGBENZENGJIA。MEITAN、HUAGONGYUANLIAO、ZHIJIANGDENGYUANCAILIAOJIAGESHANGZHANGFEICHANGMINGXIAN,ZHEIZHIJIETUISHENGLEZHIDESHENGCHANCHENGBEN,CONGERFANYINGDAOJIAGESHANG。TONGSHI,DUIJINGJIHAOZHUANDEYUQIYEFANYINGDAOLEDINGDANJIAGELI,JINYIBUTUISHENGLEXIANHUOJIAGEDESHANGZHANG。CIWAI,YINHUANBAODUCHA,ZHIXIANGCHANGXIANCHANJIANXIU,BUFENQUYUGONGJINENGLIXIAJIANG,GONGBUYINGQIU,YAOKAOLINSHENGTIANBUGONGJIQUEKOU,DAOZHIQUYUBUPINGHENG,JIAGESHANGSHENG。

江西11选5YOUSEJINSHUXINGYECHANPINJIAGESHANGZHANGDEYUANYINYUZAOZHIYELEISI,DANYOUYIDIANZHIDEZHONGSHI,NEIJIUSHIJINGJIDEZHOUQIXINGHUINUANJIXINGYEDAILAILEJUDADEZHICHENGLI。ZHEIYUZAOZHIXINGYEYOUMINGXIANDEQUBIE。CONGJINNIANLAIKAN,YOUSEJINSHUCHANPINDEXIAOFEIQINGKUANGCHIXUXIANGHAO,JIADIANCHANPIN、JIATINGZHUANGXIUYONGDAOYOUSEJINSHUYUANCAILIAODESHIYONGLIANGDOUDAFUZENGJIA,XINXINGCHANYEHEJIJIANXIANGMUDUIYOUSECHANPINDEXIAOFEIYEDAFUDUDIZENGJIA。CIWAI,YOUSEJINSHUHAIYOUBIJIAOQIANGDEJINRONGSHUXING。SUIZHESHIJIEGEDAYANGXINGHUOBIZHENGCEZHENGTIQUJIN,ZHEIDUIYOUSEJINSHUJIAGEYEHUICHANSHENGBIJIAOXIANZHUDEYINGXIANG。

ZAIGUOJISHANGYEYOULEISIANLI。SHANGSHIJI70NIANDAI,RIBENZHENGFUZENGQIANGDUIHUANJINGDEJIANGUANDUIYUXIAOFEIZHEWUJIAZHISHUDEYINGXIANGJINCONGNIANJUN8.3%SHANGSHENGDAOLE8.4%。ZONGSHANGKEZHI,YINGXIANGDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEBODONGDEYINSUYOUHENDUO,HUANBAODUCHAZHISHIQIZHONGZHIYI。ZI2016NIAN7YUEYILAI,QUANGUOFANWEINEIZHENGSHIKAIZHANDAFANWEIDEHUANBAODUCHA,ZHONGDIANDUCHAXINGYEYUGONGJICEGAIGESHEJIDEXINGYEYOUGAODUZHONGHE。XIANGGUANXINGYEHUISHOUDAOHUANBAODUCHAHEQUCHANNENGDESHUANGZHONGYINGXIANG,CHANPINGONGJINENGLISHOUDAOYIDINGDEYINGXIANG。BUNANKANCHU,ZAOZAIHUANBAODUCHAZHIQIAN,XIANGGUANXINGYEJIUMIANLINQUCHANNENGDEYALI。

ZHOUQIXINGBODONGYUHUANBAODUCHAZHIFA

YAOZHENGQUELIJIEDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEDEFANDAN。JINGJIXINCHANGTAIDEYIGETEZHENGJIUSHIZENGZHANGSUDUHUANDANG,CONGGUOQUDEGAOSUZENGZHANGZHUANXIANGZHONGGAOSUZENGZHANG。ZAIZHUANHUANDEGUOCHENGZHONG,WOMENYIFANGMIANMIANLINZHESUDUDEDIAODANG,LINGYIFANGMIANHAIMIANLINZHEJINGJIJIEGOUDEDIAOZHENGHEZENGZHANGDONGLIDEZHUANHUAN。ZAIZHEIZHONGQINGKUANGXIA,WOMENYINGGAIZHENGQUEDIQULIJIEDAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEDEFANDAN,TASHIJINGLILEWUSHIJIGEYUELIANXUFUZENGZHANGZHIHOUDEYICISHICHANGDIAOZHENGXINGWEI,KENENGYOUXIELINGYUDEJIAGELVEGAO,DANHAISHISHUYUHUIFUXINGDEZENGZHANG。BIRU,CONGTONGZHANGTAISHILAIKAN,JINNIAN1YUEZHI8YUEFENDEPPITONGBISHANGZHANGLE6.4%。DANSHI,ZAI6.4%ZHONG,YOU80%SHIYOUYUQIAOWEIYINSULADONGDE。CIWAI,DANGQIANJIAGEDEZHANGFUHAIWEIZHENZHENGYINQIQUANSHEHUIDETONGZHANG。2017NIAN1YUEZHI8YUE,M2JINZENGZHANGLE8.9%,CONGHUOBIFAXINGDEJIAODUFENXI,WOMENKENENGHAIBUJUBEITONGZHANGDEJICHUHEHUANJING。

江西11选5YAOZHENGQUERENSHIHUANBAODUCHAZHIFADUISHICHANGDECUJINZUOYONG。HUANJINGBAOHUBULIGANJIEBUZHANGZHICHU:HENDUODIFANGBAZHONGYANGHUANBAODUCHADANGCHENGTUIDONGLVSEFAZHAN、TUIJINGONGJICEJIEGOUXINGGAIGEDEHENHAOQIJIHEDONGLI,JIECIJIHUIJIAQIANGQIYEDEWURANFANGZHI,NEIHUAHUANJINGCHENGBEN,RANGSHOUFAQIYEYOUYIGEGENGJIAGONGPINGDEJINGZHENGHUANJING,YOUQISHIZHENGZHINEIXIESAN、LUAN、WUQIYE,BIJIAOHAODIJIEJUELEYIXIEDIFANGTUCHUCUNZAIDE“LIEBIQUZHULIANGBI”DEWENTI,DADATISHENGLEZHEIXIEXINGYECHANYEFAZHANDEGUIMOHEXIAOYI。YIPIMEIYOUHUANPINGSHOUXU,MEIYOUDELIHUANBAOCUOSHI,JINGYINGBUSHANDEQIYEZHUJIANTUICHUSHICHANG,WEIHUANBAOBIAOXIANLIANGHAODEQIYETENGCHULEGENGDADEFAZHANKONGJIAN。YIGANGTIEXINGYEWEILI,SUIZHELUOHOUCHANNENGTAOTAIYIJI“DITIAOGANG”DEQUDI,GANGTIEXINGYELIRUNDAFUSHANGSHENG,2017NIANSHANGBANNIANDUNGANGLIRUNZUIGAODAJINQIANYUAN。QIYELIRUNDEZENGJIAWEIHUANBAOTOURUDAILAILEYOULIDEZHICHENG,CONGERDAIDONGLEWURANZHILIHEJIENENGFANGMIANDEDAGUIMOTOURU。XIANGGUANSHUJUXIANSHI,MUQIANMINYINGGANGTIEDUNGANGHUANBAOCHENGBENDAYUEWEI100YUANZHI200YUAN,YIQIANDUNGANGDEHUANBAOCHENGBENFEIYONGBUJI100YUAN。

江西11选5YAOJINYIBUGUIFANJINRONGSHICHANGXINGWEI,BIMIANQIHUOSHICHANGDUIJIAGEZAOCHENGYINGXIANG。WOGUOGANGTIEQIHUOSHICHANGDETOUZIZHEZHONG,90%YISHANGSHIYIGERENTOUZIZHEWEIZHU,YITAOQIBAOZHIWEIZHUYAOMUDEDEQIYEZHANBIBUZU5%,YUGUOWAICHENGSHUQIHUOSHICHANG40%ZHI50%DEZHANBIXIANGBICHAJUJIAODA,SHICHANGTOUJIFENWEIJIAOWEINONGHOU,WANGWANGZAISHANGPINDESHIJISHENGCHANGUIMOHAIZAIZENGJIAZHISHI,QIHUOSHICHANGJIAGEJIUYISHANGZHANG。YINCI,HAIYINGGAIJIAQIANGDUITOUZIZHEDEJIAOYU,GUIFANJINRONGSHICHANGXINGWEI,YIBIMIANQIHUOSHICHANGDUISHANGPINJIAGEDEYINGXIANG。